Trump Rejects Iran Ceasefire, Expects Bombing After Midterms: Will Oil and Bitcoin Hold?
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
-0.19 %
before publication
-0.22 %
after
$84,100price at publication
11series points
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
BeInCrypto
scoop
Sep 26 09:52
BeInCrypto
scoop
Breaks the event
Has this happened before?
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 22 days ago | Trump Disclosure Shows Strategy, Coinbase Buys as Bitcoin Miners Sold event | 1 actors in common · 2 news media |
| 23 days ago | White House adviser defends President Trump's crypto ties in wake of Clarity Act defeat event | 1 actors in common · 2 news media |
| 24 days ago | CFTC warns ‘mention market’ prediction contracts carry heightened manipulation risk event | 1 actors in common · 5 news media |
| 24 days ago | Democrats 'chose visceral hatred for' Donald Trump over crypto Clarity Act, Lummis says event | 1 actors in common · 2 news media |
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
2 %
+1 pts
Kalshi · $4,415,187 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
1 %
no series
Kalshi · $1,022,099 of open interest · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
3 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $754,047 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
11 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $601,478 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027