[GHO Stewards] GHO Borrow Rate Update, October 2026
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
-0.01 %
before publication
-0.01 %
after
$1price at publication
12series points
The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
Oct 2 15:21
first
Aave governance forum
echo
Oct 2 15:21
Aave governance forum
echo
Picks up what was published, with no new facts
Has this happened before?
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 16 days ago | MetaMask Staking exits its Lido validators following a security incident event | 2 actors in common · 19 news media |
| 16 days ago | [ARFC] Onboard OUSD to Aave V3 Core Instance and Aave V4 Core Hub event | 2 actors in common · 2 news media |
| 17 days ago | Sentora Seeks Aave V4 Markets With 50% Revenue Share for DAO event | 2 actors in common · 5 news media |
| 15 days ago | Aave Rises 4.09% in One Hour to $170 in TokenPost Price Data event | 1 actors in common · 3 news media |
| 15 days ago | World Liberty Launches WLFI Staking, Plans $1.25M USD1 Pool event | 1 actors in common · 3 news media |
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
1 %
no series
Kalshi · $1,022,099 of open interest · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
100 %
no series
Polymarket · $419,547 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 4, 2026
100 %
no series
Polymarket · $374,115 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 3, 2026
100 %
no series
Polymarket · $319,271 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026