October Could Be Wild for Bitcoin: 5 Events Every Crypto Trader Should Watch
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
-0.05 %
before publication
+0.09 %
after
$84,548price at publication
12series points
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
Oct 3 05:01
CR
CryptoPotato
scoop
Breaks the event
Has this happened before?
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 15 days ago | Top Fed official signals central bank will keep rates on hold in October event | 1 actors in common · 3 news media |
| 15 days ago | AI Agents Account for About Half of Traffic to Federal Reserve Data Site event | 1 actors in common · 2 news media |
| 16 days ago | Mark Moss: The Bitcoin Endgame – BTC to $1 Million by 2030 event | 1 actors in common · 2 news media |
| 16 days ago | Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets event | 1 actors in common · 3 news media |
| 16 days ago | Bitcoin Jumps on Cool PCE Inflation Data as Bond Yields Hit 20-Year Highs event | 1 actors in common · 4 news media |
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
2 %
+1 pts
Kalshi · $4,415,187 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
1 %
no series
Kalshi · $1,022,099 of open interest · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
3 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $754,047 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
11 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $601,478 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027