Bitcoin on Track for $10,000 if S&P 500 Drops 20%, Bloomberg Strategist Insists
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
-0.45 %
before publication
+0.63 %
after
$81,153price at publication
12series points
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
U.Today
scoop
Oct 16 17:57
Breaks the event
Where this sits in the Bitcoin series
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 years ago | BTC a 1.152e+05 $ high | today it sits -29.1 % from there |
| 4 months ago | BTC a 5.857e+04 $ low | today it sits +39.5 % from there |
From what we have stored, starting 1.0 years ago.
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
2 %
+1 pts
Kalshi · $4,415,187 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
1 %
no series
Kalshi · $1,022,099 of open interest · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
3 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $754,047 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
11 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $601,478 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027