Bitcoin Price Crash Wipes Out $89 Billion as Fed Rate Hike Odds Hit 44%
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
-0.09 %
before publication
+0.20 %
after
$80,886price at publication
11series points
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
Coinpedia
scoop
Oct 15 06:55
Coinpedia
scoop
Breaks the event: $2710B
What Federal funds rate has done before
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 2 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise | Sep 2026 |
| 3 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Aug 2026 |
| 4 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jul 2026 |
| 5 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jun 2026 |
| 6 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 (-0.01) fall | May 2026 |
FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
2 %
+1 pts
Kalshi · $4,415,187 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
1 %
no series
Kalshi · $1,022,099 of open interest · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
3 %
no series
Kalshi · $754,047 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
11 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $601,478 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027