macroeconomics

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

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Key claims & sources

Summary in preparation.

Market reaction i

Total crypto marketall crypto assets combined no single asset in the event: read against the whole market

We only have 0 data points in that window. The series is stored every half hour, so newer events will have it. Computing it from two points would not be a reaction, it would be a coincidence.

Coverage timeline

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

first
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve — all press releases scoop our clock
Breaks the event
first
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve press index (JSON) echo our clock
Picks up what was published, with no new facts
first
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve — monetary policy echo our clock
Picks up what was published, with no new facts
+0 min
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve press index (JSON) echo our clock
Confirms it 0 min later, with the same facts
+0 min
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve — monetary policy echo our clock
Confirms it 0 min later, with the same facts
+0 min
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve press index (JSON) echo our clock
Confirms it 0 min later, with the same facts
+0 min
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve — monetary policy echo our clock
Confirms it 0 min later, with the same facts
+0 min
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve press index (JSON) echo our clock
Confirms it 0 min later, with the same facts
+0 min
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve — monetary policy echo our clock
Confirms it 0 min later, with the same facts

What Federal funds rate has done before

WhenWhat happenedFigure
36 days ago Federal funds rate: 3.88 (+0.13) rise Oct 2026
2 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise Sep 2026
3 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Aug 2026
4 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Jul 2026
5 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Jun 2026

FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.

What could happen next i

Fed Decision in December? Polymarket · settles Dec 9 · $2.4M bet in 24 h
66% 25 bps increase ▼ 12 pts in 24 h
  • 25 bps increase ▼12 66%
  • No change ▲12 34%
  • 25 bps decrease ▲1 1%
  • 50+ bps increase <1%
  • 1 more1%
25 bps increase, last 16 days
Fed decision in Dec 2026? Kalshi · settles Dec 9 · $228.8k bet in 24 h
65% Hike 25bps ▼ 15 pts in 24 h
  • Hike 25bps ▼15 65%
  • Fed maintains rate ▲15 35%
  • Cut 25bps ▲1 2%
  • Hike >25bps ▼1 1%
  • 1 more1%
Hike 25bps, last 16 days
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket · settles Jan 1 · $127.7k bet in 24 h
97% 0 (0 bps) ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
  • 0 (0 bps) ▼1 97%
  • 1 (25 bps) <1%
  • 2 (50 bps) <1%
  • 3 (75 bps) <1%
0 (0 bps), last 16 days