regulation and policy

Report: CFTC Eyes Unusual $5B Trading Pattern on Kalshi ETH Perpetuals

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Published

Kalshi said nearly $5 billion of similarly sized Ether perpetual trades were tied to its liquidity incentive programs and denied that the activity was wash trading. Another report said the CFTC is reviewing unusual trading on Kalshi’s Ethereum perpetual futures market, with close to one million trades clustered around the same $5,500 order size since August.

Key claims & sources

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The CFTC is reportedly reviewing unusual trading on Kalshi’s Ethereum perpetual futures market.
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The Wall Street Journal found close to one million trades clustered around the same $5,500 order size since August.
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Kalshi said nearly $5 billion in similarly sized Ether perpetual trades reflected its liquidity incentive programs.
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Kalshi rejected allegations that the activity was wash trading.

What it means

Kalshi users and traders who interacted with the Ether perpetual market would notice that the trading pattern is being described publicly as unusual, while Kalshi says the activity fits its liquidity incentives. That leaves the market’s recent activity under scrutiny today, even though the company has said the trades were not wash trading.

In practice, the market can still show large volumes of similarly sized trades, but the question now is whether that pattern is being examined by the CFTC. The trading itself is not described as having stopped, and the size clustering around $5,500 remains part of the reported activity.

Market reaction i

EthereumETH the event is about this asset

We only have 1 data point in that window. The series is stored every half hour, so newer events will have it. Computing it from two points would not be a reaction, it would be a coincidence.

Coverage timeline

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

first
Sep 23 22:15
+2 h 37 m
Sep 24 00:53
Cointelegraph echo
No new facts: liquidity, incentive, similarly; with quotes

Has this happened before?

WhenWhat happenedFigure
44 days ago CFTC warns ‘mention market’ prediction contracts carry heightened manipulation risk event 1 actors in common · 5 news media
44 days ago CFTC Chairman Selig says markets must prepare for ‘mass tokenization’ event 1 actors in common · 2 news media
44 days ago SEC Clears Tokenized Stocks To Trade Onchain As CFTC Widens Software Relief event 1 actors in common · 2 news media