94%
Good Day
▲ 1 pts in 24 h
- Good Day ▲1 94%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas ▲14 84%
- Inflation 20+ times 46%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times ▼1 46%
- 3 more78%
Good Day, last 7 days
GDP, (Third Estimate), Industries, Corporate Profits, State GDP, and State Personal Income, 2nd Quarter 2026; State PCE, 2025
Published
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
+1.50 %
before publication
-1.34 %
after
$2.9Tmarket cap at publication
12series points
The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
BEA news releases
scoop
Sep 30 12:30
Breaks the event
What Core PCE has done before
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 3 months ago | Core PCE: 130.455 (+0.32) rise | Aug 2026 |
| 4 months ago | Core PCE: 130.133 (+0.16) rise | Jul 2026 |
| 5 months ago | Core PCE: 129.969 (+0.17) rise | Jun 2026 |
| 6 months ago | Core PCE: 129.796 (+0.40) rise | May 2026 |
| 7 months ago | Core PCE: 129.395 (+0.37) rise | Apr 2026 |
FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.
What could happen next i
64%
Above 0.2%
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
- Above 0.0% 98%
- Above 0.1% 88%
- Above 0.2% 64%
- Above 0.3% 18%
- Above 0.4% 7%
Above 0.2%, last 7 days
62%
Above 3.8%
- Above 3.6% 88%
- Above 3.7% 76%
- Above 3.8% 62%
- Above 3.9% 44%
- Above 4.0% 33%
Above 3.8%, last 7 days