Blockchain.com seeks CFTC licenses to enter a booming prediction market caught in a federal-state fight

REGULATORY DECISIONBlockchain.com seeks CFTC licenses toenter a booming prediction marketcaught in a federal-state fight40IMPORTANCECLOSED7NEWS MEDIA8PIECESOct 9, 2026 12:08blockboard.net

Blockchain.com filed for U.S. CFTC licenses that would let it offer prediction markets and crypto derivatives, including DCM and FCM registrations. The latest coverage adds that the company wants to combine derivatives and prediction markets in one app, and that several other exchange applications are still pending at the CFTC. One report also places the filing against the backdrop of a planned $500 million IPO and ongoing court fights over prediction markets.

What this rests on

Claim by claim, with its source
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Blockchain.com applied for licenses to serve retail and institutional customers with prediction markets and cryptocurrency derivatives in the United States.
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Blockchain.com is seeking approval to offer event contracts from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
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That application came two weeks after a federal appeals court ruling that states can treat sports contracts as gambling.
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The filing was reported alongside a planned $500 million IPO.
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The company filed for designated contract market and futures commission merchant registrations.
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The company aims to combine derivatives and prediction markets in one app.

What it means

Who it affects, what changes and what is still unconfirmed

Each sentence links inside to the piece that supports it.

Users and clients who would trade through Blockchain.com would notice a shift from an unapproved setup to a plan for regulated U.S. event-contract and derivatives access. That change is tied to a filing for DCM and FCM registrations, which would be the route for serving retail and institutional customers in the U.S. once approved.

In practice, the filing points to a single app that would combine derivatives and prediction markets, while the current setup for some products remains outside the U.S. for non-U.S. users. What stays the same for now is that the applications are still under review and other exchange applications are still pending at the CFTC.

Market reaction

BT Bitcoin market event: it is read against the reference from 2 h before to 4 h after the line marks the first headline
published
+0.34 % before publication
+0.06 % after
$82,907price at publication
12series points

The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.

How the story was built

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

+2 min
Oct 9 16:05
+5 min
Oct 9 16:08
Crypto Briefing context
Its angle: confidence, investor, reshape
+19 min
Oct 9 16:22
Cointelegraph echo
No new facts: commodities, pursues, courts
+47 min
Oct 9 16:50
+2 h 3 m
Oct 9 18:06
Decrypt echo
No new facts: partners, overseas, instead
+3 d 20 h
Oct 13 13:00
CN Crypto News Flash context
Its angle: cryptocurrency, registrations, arrangements
+3 d 21 h
Oct 13 13:52
Crypto Briefing echo
No new facts: institutional, bitcoin, pricing

Has this happened before?

WhenWhat happenedFigure
18 days ago White House blames Democrats for Crypto Clarity Act’s Senate failure event 2 actors in common · 8 news media
19 days ago How Crypto Stopped Waiting for Congress and Learned to Love the Regulators event 2 actors in common · 3 news media
9 days ago French Hill says agency crypto rules cannot replace CLARITY Act event 1 actors in common · 2 news media
9 days ago House Finance panel chair says regulator actions on crypto ‘fall short’ of CLARITY bill event 1 actors in common · 6 news media
9 days ago CFTC Chairman Selig endorses mass tokenization to transform markets event 1 actors in common · 2 news media

What could happen next

What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.

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3 % +0 pts
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11 % +0 pts
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