macroeconomics

Bitcoin climbs toward $84,000 after Fed’s Williams sees no rate hikes in 2027

0Importance
closedStatus
1News media
1Pieces
Published
Also mentions
ZECDOGEETH +1

Key claims & sources

Summary in preparation.

Market reaction i

BitcoinBTC the event is about this asset
first headline
+0.6% 2 h before
-0.5% 4 h after
$83,822price at publication
11data points

The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.

Coverage timeline

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

first
Oct 14 03:50

What Federal funds rate has done before

WhenWhat happenedFigure
36 days ago Federal funds rate: 3.88 (+0.13) rise Oct 2026
2 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise Sep 2026
3 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Aug 2026
4 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Jul 2026
5 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Jun 2026

FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.

What could happen next i

Fed Decision in December? Polymarket · settles Dec 9 · $2.5M bet in 24 h
66% 25 bps increase ▼ 12 pts in 24 h
  • 25 bps increase ▼12 66%
  • No change ▲13 34%
  • 25 bps decrease <1%
  • 50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps increase, last 16 days
Fed decision in Dec 2026? Kalshi · settles Dec 9 · $234.0k bet in 24 h
65% Hike 25bps ▼ 15 pts in 24 h
  • Hike 25bps ▼15 65%
  • Fed maintains rate ▲16 36%
  • Cut 25bps ▲1 2%
  • Hike >25bps ▼1 1%
  • 1 more1%
Hike 25bps, last 16 days
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket · settles Jan 1 · $127.8k bet in 24 h
97% 0 (0 bps) ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
  • 0 (0 bps) ▼1 97%
  • 1 (25 bps) <1%
  • 2 (50 bps) <1%
  • 3 (75 bps) <1%
0 (0 bps), last 16 days