2026-09-01 - Data portal - Interest rates and exchange rates, September 2026
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
We track BTC, but we only have 1 price point in that window. The series is stored every half hour, so newer events will have it. Computing it from two points would not be a reaction, it would be a coincidence.
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
Swiss National Bank news
scoop
our clock
Sep 22 20:35
Swiss National Bank news
scoop
our clock
Breaks the event
What Federal funds rate has done before
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 2 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise | Sep 2026 |
| 3 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Aug 2026 |
| 4 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jul 2026 |
| 5 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jun 2026 |
| 6 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 (-0.01) fall | May 2026 |
FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
0 %
no series
Polymarket · $1,201,606 traded in 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
0 %
no series
Polymarket · $348,675 traded in 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
100 %
no series
Polymarket · $298,585 traded in 24 h · resolves on Sep 25, 2026
0 %
no series
Polymarket · $290,877 traded in 24 h · resolves on Sep 30, 2026