- No change ▲2 95%
- 25 bps increase ▼3 5%
- 50+ bps increase <1%
- 25 bps decrease <1%
Bitcoin Price Bounces as Nasdaq Soars, KOSPI Rebounds, and FOMC Hike Fears Persist
Published Updated 1 new report since it was first published
Bitcoin moved back toward the $81,000 area ahead of the Federal Reserve’s FOMC policy decision. Other major crypto assets also firmed, with altcoins turning green and memecoins posting outsized gains.
What this rests on
What it means
The Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting is the key backdrop here, because crypto traders are still positioning around US rate policy while Bitcoin trades near the $81,000 area. Bitcoin had previously fallen below $80,000, so the move back up puts the market in a familiar waiting pattern ahead of the policy announcement. For crypto users and builders, this is a reminder that macro events can still dominate short-term trading conditions even when the underlying assets are unchanged.
Bitcoin’s rebound arrived alongside a broader lift in crypto assets, with Ethereum near $2,400 and XRP back above $1.30. That kind of cross-market move can widen attention beyond Bitcoin and draw activity back into altcoins and memecoins such as PEPE. It also shows how quickly sentiment can rotate across the market when traders expect a major macro decision later in the day.
The bigger tension is between crypto’s own market narrative and the traditional policy cycle that still frames it. When traders wait on an FOMC decision, Bitcoin behaves less like a separate monetary network and more like a risk asset tied to US central-bank expectations. That leaves the market exposed to the same sort of event-driven volatility that affects stocks and other speculative assets, even as crypto is often marketed as independent from them.
What is still open is the Fed’s decision and the market reaction that follows later today. The two reports do not say which direction policy will go, only that the meeting is imminent and traders are already adjusting positions. A clearer read on whether the rebound holds will come from Bitcoin’s price action after the FOMC statement and any comment from Jerome Powell.
Market reaction
The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
What Federal funds rate has done before
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 2 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise | Sep 2026 |
| 3 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Aug 2026 |
| 4 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jul 2026 |
| 5 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jun 2026 |
| 6 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 (-0.01) fall | May 2026 |
FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.
What could happen next i
- Fed maintains rate ▲3 96%
- Hike 25bps ▼3 5%
- Hike >25bps 1%
- Cut 25bps 1%
- 1 more1%
- 2 ▼2 32%
- 3 ▲5 26%
- 0 ▼4 24%
- 1 ▲2 16%
- 1 more4%