Ethereum reclaims $2,431 as buyers absorb rate hike and regulatory setback
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
-0.24 %
before publication
+0.24 %
after
$2,688price at publication
13series points
The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
CoinJournal
scoop
our clock
Sep 24 21:13
CoinJournal
scoop
our clock
Breaks the event: $365.5M
What Federal funds rate has done before
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 2 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise | Sep 2026 |
| 3 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Aug 2026 |
| 4 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jul 2026 |
| 5 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jun 2026 |
| 6 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 (-0.01) fall | May 2026 |
FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
0 %
no series
Polymarket · $1,201,606 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
0 %
no series
Polymarket · $191,019 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Sep 27, 2026
6 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $185,377 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
4 %
+0 pts
Kalshi · $174,646 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027