Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
We track BTC, but we only have 1 price point in that window. The series is stored every half hour, so newer events will have it. Computing it from two points would not be a reaction, it would be a coincidence.
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
Federal Reserve — all press releases
scoop
our clock
Sep 22 20:33
Breaks the event
first
Federal Reserve press index (JSON)
echo
our clock
Sep 22 20:33
Picks up what was published, with no new facts
first
Federal Reserve — monetary policy
echo
our clock
Sep 22 20:33
Picks up what was published, with no new facts
What Federal funds rate has done before
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 2 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise | Sep 2026 |
| 3 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Aug 2026 |
| 4 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jul 2026 |
| 5 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jun 2026 |
| 6 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 (-0.01) fall | May 2026 |
FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
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no series
Polymarket · $1,201,606 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
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Polymarket · $348,675 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
100 %
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Polymarket · $298,585 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Sep 25, 2026
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no series
Polymarket · $290,877 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Sep 30, 2026