86%
No change
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
- No change ▲2 86%
- 25 bps increase ▼1 14%
- 25 bps decrease <1%
- 50+ bps increase <1%
No change, last 4 days
Goldman Sachs shifts second Fed hike forecast to December
Published
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
+0.15 %
before publication
-0.03 %
after
$83,605price at publication
13series points
The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
Oct 1 04:04
Where this sits in the Bitcoin series
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 years ago | BTC a 1.152e+05 $ high | today it sits -28.3 % from there |
| 4 months ago | BTC a 5.857e+04 $ low | today it sits +41.0 % from there |
From what we have stored, starting 1.0 years ago.
What could happen next i
88%
Fed maintains rate
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
- Fed maintains rate ▲2 88%
- Hike 25bps ▼2 12%
- Cut 25bps 1%
- Hike >25bps 1%
- 1 more1%
Fed maintains rate, last 4 days
97%
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
- No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? ▲2 97%
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?, last 4 days