How strong is the Fed’s effect on Bitcoin?

MACROECONOMICSHow strong is the Fed’seffect on Bitcoin?19IMPORTANCEDEVELOPING1NEWS MEDIA1PIECESSep 30, 2026 06:36blockboard.net
In Bitcoin Memecoins Macro
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What this rests on

Summary in preparation.

Market reaction

BT Bitcoin the event is about this asset from 2 h before to 4 h after the line marks the first headline
published
-0.14 % before publication
+0.65 % after
$83,179price at publication
12series points

How the story was built

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

first
Sep 30 06:36
NEXO scoop our clock
Breaks the event

Has this happened before?

WhenWhat happenedFigure
20 days ago BTC, ETH and XRP Brace For Packed Week Of US Economic Data And Fed Clues event 2 actors in common · 3 news media
19 days ago Ram Ahluwalia Calls Treasury Selloff ‘Technical Panic Selling,’ Expects Yields to Top Out Soon event 1 actors in common · 2 news media
20 days ago Top 5 Market Catalysts That Could Move Stocks and Crypto This Week event 1 actors in common · 2 news media
23 days ago Federal Reserve Plans Higher Asset Thresholds for Bank Oversight event 1 actors in common · 2 news media
23 days ago Federal Reserve Unveils Stablecoin Rules on Reserves and Capital event 1 actors in common · 4 news media

What could happen next

What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.

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1 % no series
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4 % +0 pts
Kalshi · $754,413 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027
11 % +0 pts
Kalshi · $601,306 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027