BTC.b on Aave Ethereum
What this rests on
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction
We track BTC, but we only have 1 price point in that window. The series is stored every half hour, so newer events will have it. Computing it from two points would not be a reaction, it would be a coincidence.
How the story was built
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
Sep 22 21:34
Aave governance forum
Has this happened before?
Nothing comparable yet.
What could happen next
What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.
0 %
no series
Polymarket · $1,201,606 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
0 %
no series
Kalshi · $1,148,516 of open interest · resolves on Oct 2, 2026
0 %
no series
Kalshi · $1,135,683 of open interest · resolves on Oct 6, 2026
10 %
+1 pts
Kalshi · $1,023,461 of open interest · resolves on Jan 1, 2027