macroeconomics

Bitcoin hits highest level since January as US PCE inflation cools to 3.4%

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Bitcoin moved to its highest level since January after the latest US personal consumption expenditures inflation reading came in at 3.4% year over year. The move came alongside gains in gold, while Bitcoin, Ether and XRP also advanced and crypto shorts saw a large liquidation imbalance.

Key claims & sources

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Bitcoin reached its highest price since January after the US personal consumption expenditures inflation measure was reported at 3.4% in August.
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Within minutes of the inflation release, Bitcoin traded above $85,000 and gold also moved higher.
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Crypto shorts faced a 2,633% liquidation imbalance while Bitcoin, Ether and XRP moved higher.
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Bitcoin, Ether and XRP advanced as the August personal consumption expenditures price index came in at 3.4% annually.

What it means

Traders and holders in Bitcoin, Ether and XRP were affected immediately because those tokens moved higher after the August inflation reading. The same session also showed gold rising, so the shift was visible across both crypto and traditional markets.

Market reaction i

BitcoinBTC the event is about this asset
first headline
+1.8% 2 h before
-1.5% 4 h after
$85,401price at publication
12data points

The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.

Coverage timeline

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

first
Sep 30 12:59
+30 min
Sep 30 13:29
BeInCrypto context
Its angle: expenditures, tradingview, consumption
+2 h 42 m
Sep 30 15:41

What Inflation (US CPI) has done before

WhenWhat happenedFigure
2 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 336.298 (+2.17) rise Sep 2026
3 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 334.131 (+1.32) rise Aug 2026
4 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 332.813 (+0.25) rise Jul 2026
5 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 332.568 (-1.41) fall Jun 2026
6 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 333.979 (+1.57) rise May 2026

FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.

What could happen next i

CPI in October Kalshi · settles Nov 10 · $10.7k bet in 24 h
58% Above 0.2% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
  • Above 0.1% 92%
  • Above 0.2% 58%
  • Above 0.3% 15%
  • Above 0.4% 4%
  • Above 0.5% 1%
Above 0.2%, last 16 days
October Inflation US - Annual Polymarket · settles Nov 11 · $8.2k bet in 24 h
88% 3.7% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
  • 3.7% ▼1 88%
  • 3.8% ▼2 8%
  • 3.6% ▲1 2%
  • 4.0% <1%
  • 8 more3%
3.7%, last 16 days
Core CPI YoY - October 2026 Polymarket · settles Nov 11 · $1.7k bet in 24 h
88% 2.6% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
  • 2.6% ▼2 88%
  • 2.5% ▲2 4%
2.6%, last 15 days