Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting

MACROECONOMICSFederal Reserve Board and Federal OpenMarket Committee release economicprojections from the September 15-16FOMC meeting49IMPORTANCECLOSED1NEWS MEDIA3PIECESSep 22, 2026 20:33blockboard.net
In Macro

What this rests on

Summary in preparation.

Market reaction

We track BTC, but we only have 1 price point in that window. The series is stored every half hour, so newer events will have it. Computing it from two points would not be a reaction, it would be a coincidence.

How the story was built

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

first
Sep 22 20:33
first
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve press index (JSON) echo our clock
Picks up what was published, with no new facts
first
Sep 22 20:33
Federal Reserve — monetary policy echo our clock
Picks up what was published, with no new facts

What Federal funds rate has done before

WhenWhat happenedFigure
2 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise Sep 2026
3 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Aug 2026
4 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Jul 2026
5 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Jun 2026
6 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 (-0.01) fall May 2026

FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.

What could happen next

What the prediction markets currently price as likely. This is context, not a forecast of ours: there is money on it, and that is all we show.

0 % no series
Polymarket · $1,201,606 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
0 % no series
Polymarket · $348,675 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Oct 1, 2026
100 % no series
Polymarket · $298,585 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Sep 25, 2026
0 % no series
Polymarket · $290,877 negociados en 24 h · resolves on Sep 30, 2026