Bitcoin barely flinches at hot CPI as ETF selling slows

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Key claims & sources

Summary in preparation.

Market reaction i

BitcoinBTC the event is about this asset

Bitcoin fell 0.1% in the 4 hours after the first headline, after falling 0.3% in the 2 hours before.

$73,819 price at the headline
-0.3% 2 h before
-0.1% 4 h after
-0.1% 1 h after (so far)
First headline

26 prices, one every 30 minutes · The move was larger before the first headline than after: an observation, not an explanation. The market also moves on things nobody publishes.

Coverage timeline

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

first
Nov 11 12:19

What Inflation (US CPI) has done before

WhenWhat happenedFigure
42 days ago Inflation (US CPI): 337.476 (+1.18) rise Oct 2026
2 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 336.298 (+2.17) rise Sep 2026
3 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 334.131 (+1.32) rise Aug 2026
4 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 332.813 (+0.25) rise Jul 2026
5 months ago Inflation (US CPI): 332.568 (-1.41) fall Jun 2026

FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.

What could happen next i

CPI YoY in November Kalshi · settles Dec 10 · $37.7k bet in 24 h
63% Above 3.7% ▲ 42 pts in 24 h
  • Above 3.5% 94%
  • Above 3.6% 91%
  • Above 3.7% 63%
  • Above 3.8% 24%
  • Above 3.9% 10%
Above 3.7%, last 16 days
CPI in November Kalshi · settles Dec 10 · $11.1k bet in 24 h
84% Above -0.1% ▲ 23 pts in 24 h
  • Above -0.3% 98%
  • Above -0.2% 93%
  • Above -0.1% 84%
  • Above 0.0% 34%
  • Above 0.1% 8%
Above -0.1%, last 16 days
How high will inflation get in 2026? Polymarket · settles Jan 1 · $6.5k bet in 24 h
10% Above 4.5% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
  • Above 4.5% ▼1 10%
  • Above 5% ▼1 4%
  • Above 8% 2%
Above 4.5%, last 16 days