US PPI Inflation Rises 6.5% as Markets Weigh Size of December Fed Rate Hike

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US producer prices rose 0.3% in October and 6.5% year over year, while markets were watching the next Federal Reserve rate move. Crypto trading was mixed around the release, with Bitcoin above $70,000 in one report and Ethereum, XRP, and Pi under pressure in another.

Key claims & sources

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US producer prices increased 0.3% in October and were up 6.5% from a year earlier, while economists had expected a 0.4% monthly rise and 6.6% annually.
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Bitcoin moved above $70,000 as markets weighed the size of the December Federal Reserve rate hike.
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Ethereum traded below $2,000, XRP was near $1, and Pi Network also traded lower on Nov. 13 as US producer inflation reached 6.5% annually.
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The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ October report showed producer prices rising 0.3% during the month.

What it means

The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ October producer-price report sits alongside the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path, which is why traders watched the release so closely. Producer inflation is one of the inputs markets use when judging whether policy can stay tight or needs to ease. The November 13 move in crypto came against that backdrop, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Pi all responding in the same session.

For crypto users and builders, a hotter-than-expected inflation print keeps attention on liquidity conditions rather than on token-specific news. That affects how desks, exchanges and treasuries position around scheduled macro releases, especially when Bitcoin and major altcoins move in different directions. The immediate practical change is not in the assets themselves, but in the pace and caution of trading around Fed-watch dates. (per crypto.news)

Market reaction i

BitcoinBTC the event is about this asset

Bitcoin fell 1.0% in the 4 hours after the first headline, after rising 0.4% in the 2 hours before.

$69,497 price at the headline
+0.4% 2 h before
-1.0% 4 h after
-1.8% 8 h after (so far)
First headline

41 prices, one every 30 minutes

Coverage timeline

Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.

first
Nov 13 15:10
+7 min
Nov 13 15:17
crypto.news adds
Brings into the story: PI, XRP, with quotes

What Federal funds rate has done before

WhenWhat happenedFigure
44 days ago Federal funds rate: 3.88 (+0.13) rise Oct 2026
2 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise Sep 2026
4 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Aug 2026
5 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Jul 2026
6 months ago Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change Jun 2026

FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.

What could happen next i

PPI YoY - October 2026 Polymarket · settles Nov 14 · $9.9k bet in 24 h
100% 6.5% ▲ 78 pts in 24 h
  • 6.5% ▲78 100%
  • 6.8%+ ▼32 <1%
  • 6.6% ▼25 <1%
  • 6.2% ▼2 <1%
6.5%, last 15 days
Fed Decision in December? Polymarket · settles Dec 9 · $3.7M bet in 24 h
88% 25 bps increase ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
  • 25 bps increase ▲1 88%
  • 50+ bps increase ▼2 8%
  • No change ▲1 2%
  • 25 bps decrease <1%
25 bps increase, last 15 days
Fed decision in Dec 2026? Kalshi · settles Dec 9 · $385.6k bet in 24 h
89% Hike 25bps ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
  • Hike 25bps ▲3 89%
  • Hike >25bps ▼1 10%
  • Fed maintains rate 3%
  • Cut 25bps 1%
  • 1 more1%
Hike 25bps, last 15 days