unclassified
Warren, Curtis Press Kalshi and Polymarket on Election Trading Safeguards
0Importance
closedStatus
1News media
- Published
Key claims & sources
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction i
Total crypto marketall crypto assets combined
no single asset in the event: read against the whole market
The total crypto market fell 1.7% in the 4 hours after the first headline, after falling 2.4% in the 2 hours before.
$2.7T
market cap at the headline
-2.4%
2 h before
-1.7%
4 h after
-1.0%
12 h after
First headline
47 prices, one every 30 minutes · The move was larger before the first headline than after: an observation, not an explanation. The market also moves on things nobody publishes.
Coverage timeline
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
The Defiant
scoop
Oct 29 21:02
Breaks the event