76%
25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase 76%
- No change 22%
- 25 bps decrease <1%
- 50+ bps decrease <1%
- 1 more1%
25 bps increase, last 16 days
price move
With stubbornly high interest rates, some are reconsidering adjustable-rate mortgages
0Importance
closedStatus
1News media
1Pieces
- Published
- In
- Macro
Key claims & sources
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction i
Total crypto marketall crypto assets combined
no single asset in the event: read against the whole market
-0.1%
2 h before
+0.5%
4 h after
$2.6Tmarket cap at publication
12data points
Coverage timeline
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
NPR — Business
scoop
Nov 5 23:09
NPR — Business
scoop
Breaks the event
What Federal funds rate has done before
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 38 days ago | Federal funds rate: 3.88 (+0.13) rise | Oct 2026 |
| 2 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.75 (+0.12) rise | Sep 2026 |
| 3 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Aug 2026 |
| 4 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jul 2026 |
| 5 months ago | Federal funds rate: 3.63 no change | Jun 2026 |
FRED series, with the value of each release and its change.
What could happen next i
77%
Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps 77%
- Fed maintains rate ▼3 22%
- Cut 25bps 2%
- Hike >25bps ▲1 2%
- 1 more1%
Hike 25bps, last 16 days
2%
December 2026 Meeting
- December 2026 Meeting 2%
- October 2026 Meeting <1%
December 2026 Meeting, last 15 days