76%
25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase 76%
- No change 22%
- 25 bps decrease <1%
- 50+ bps decrease <1%
- 1 more1%
25 bps increase, last 16 days
macroeconomics
Federal Reserve Board publishes transcripts of more than 50 interviews with former policymakers and former senior staff that chronicle nearly half a century of Federal Reserve history
0Importance
closedStatus
1News media
1Pieces
- Published
Key claims & sources
Summary in preparation.
Market reaction i
Total crypto marketall crypto assets combined
no single asset in the event: read against the whole market
-0.2%
2 h before
0.0%
4 h after
$2.9Tmarket cap at publication
12data points
The move was larger before the first headline than after. That is an observation, not an explanation: the market also moves on things nobody publishes.
Coverage timeline
Every piece in order, with the time its news medium declares — if it is not believable we use ours and say so — and what it added to what was already known at that point. Arriving first is not the same as adding something.
first
Federal Reserve press index (JSON)
scoop
our clock
Sep 29 20:45
Breaks the event
Has this happened before?
| When | What happened | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| 41 days ago | BTC, ETH and XRP Brace For Packed Week Of US Economic Data And Fed Clues event | 1 actors in common · 3 news media |
| 2 months ago | Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement event | 1 actors in common · 2 news media |
What could happen next i
98%
0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps) 98%
- 1 (25 bps) ▼1 <1%
- 2 (50 bps) <1%
- 4 (100 bps) <1%
0 (0 bps), last 16 days
76%
Hike 25bps
▼ 1 pts in 24 h
- Hike 25bps ▼1 76%
- Fed maintains rate ▼2 23%
- Cut 25bps ▲1 2%
- Hike >25bps 2%
- 1 more1%
Hike 25bps, last 16 days